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Opening Statement from the August 2015 CCPM Forecaster

Originally published on August 2, 2015

As we have been discussing in the Intelligent Investor, it is very important period to pay close attention to commodities price trends in order to understand the overall global macroeconomic picture. This will help investors understand interest rates, inflation and economic growth trends, all of which will assist in securities valuation, asset allocation and investment management.

As one example, commodities pricing is most often reflected by...

Ever since our first warning of the deflation of the commodities bubble in early 2011, we have seen global demand gradually weaken. This has caused global economic growth to soften...

Investors appear to be catching up with the realities of the global macroeconomic weakness. The bearish trend in commodities recently intensified as investors responded to a host of negative variables such as China’s slowing growth, the collapse in oil pricing...

Once the market collapsed officials stepped in with unprecedented anti-market controls in order to prevent a complete blowout of its stock market bubble...

The Chinese government has accelerated infrastructure projects hoping this will prevent economic growth from sliding further. And officials devalued the yuan in attempt to spark global demand for more “Made in China” garbage.

This is not going to end well.

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